Science Involvement in the Western Oregon RMP Revisions
February 20, 2005
John Cissel - BLM Western Oregon Science Liaison
Background
The role of scientists in land management planning
has long been controversial in the Pacific Northwest. Issues include the
balance of scientists involved in the process, confusion over appropriate
roles for scientists and managers, and the degree of interaction among
scientists, managers, and citizens. In addition, it has been difficult to
sustain interaction among scientists and managers throughout what is often
a prolonged and tumultuous process.
The most recent model in western Oregon was FEMAT.
Although selected specialists from the management agencies participated,
FEMAT was predominately a team of scientists, and policy-makers were
specifically excluded from the process. Repercussions from the FEMAT/NWFP
model of scientist involvement have been numerous, both positive and
negative. Other models of scientist-manager interaction have been tried
more recently in the Pacific Northwest (e.g., ICBEMP, Tongass Forest Plan
Revision), also with their own advantages and disadvantages. Despite
shortcomings, these efforts indicate that analysis quality and management
credibility can be substantially enhanced by judicious involvement of
scientists.
The RMP Steering Committee has affirmed that the RMP
revision process should include specific roles and tasks for scientists,
and that interested citizens and cooperators should have opportunities to
review the scientific basis of the RMP analysis and to suggest science
findings for our consideration (RMP Steering Committee meeting, February
13, 2005).
Objectives
The BLM hopes to create a sustained dialog among
scientists and managers throughout the RMP revision process that respects
the roles and enhances the understanding of both parties. Involvement of
scientists in the RMP revision process should:
- Provide the BLM with an understanding of current
scientific knowledge
- Provide assurance that the analytical process is
founded on credible assumptions and uses appropriate methodologies
- Provide specialized sources of expertise not
otherwise available
- Provide innovative scientific perspectives
concerning management approaches to meet RMP objectives
- Provide assurance that relevant science is
considered, reasonably interpreted, and accurately presented; and that
uncertainties and risks are acknowledged and documented
- Share relevant information and knowledge with
interested citizens, interest groups, cooperators, and media
State-of-the-science reviews
The BLM will establish cooperative agreements with
scientists with recognized expertise in the relevant field to conduct a
“State-of-the science” review for selected major issues and questions. The
purpose of these reviews is to assess the state of the knowledge and
identify areas of agreement and areas of uncertainty for complex issues
central to the RMP revisions. These reviews will include a survey and
synthesis of the existing literature, identify questions that are the
subject of ongoing scientific investigations, and suggest a range of
reasonable assumptions and interpretations relevant for RMP revisions.
Reports will be prepared in a format suitable for review and use by the
RMP planning team, and, if suitable, may be further developed for
publication. These reviews will help focus and support the analysis of
planning team specialists, and identify potential tools to help conduct
resource analyses. See attachment for a description of planned reviews.
Informal consultations
RMP IDT members face significant challenges analyzing
the effects of alternatives. Informal consultations and small group
meetings have been organized among IDT members and scientists to provide
early and rapid feedback regarding proposed analysis methods. Draft
descriptions of proposed analytical methods were shared with scientists,
and the scientists responded with suggestions to improve methods. The
following disciplines and scientists have assisted the BLM through
informal consultations
-
Climate change - Ron Neilsen (PNW)
-
Fish - Kelly Burnett (PNW), Jason Dunham (USGS),
Gordie Reeves (PNW)
-
Hydrology - Gordon Grant (PNW)
-
Landscape ecology - Tom Spies (PNW
-
Social and economic - Richard Haynes (PNW)
-
Soils - Paul Adams (OSU), Jim Boyle (OSU), Steve
Perakis (USGS), Stephen Schoenholtz (OSU)
-
Timber harvest systems - Loren Kellogg (OSU)
-
Timber growth and yield modeling - David Hann (OSU)
-
Wildlife - Joan Hagar (USGS)
Science Advisory Team
A. Purpose and operations
A Science Advisory Team (SAT) consisting primarily of
federal scientists will be formed to enhance the quality and credibility
of RMP revision analyses. Provisions of the Federal Advisory Committee Act
(FACA) sharply limit the participation of nonfederal scientists. The
primary purpose of the SAT is to provide advice to the BLM that improves
the quality of the RMP revisions and Environmental Impact Statement (EIS).
The team is not expected to provide an independent certification of
science consistency. Specific tasks and the anticipated schedule are
described below. The BLM RMP Science Liaison will facilitate the SAT and
serve as the primary point of contact among the SAT and the BLM.
The SAT will generally conduct business in a reactive
mode reviewing material and answering questions relevant to the RMP
revisions on request from the BLM. The SAT will also be free to suggest
methods by which the quality and credibility of the revision analysis
process may be improved. Depending on the nature of the task and the
consent of both the team and the BLM, the SAT will work in both informal
and formal modes. In addition, members of the SAT may be asked to
participate in 1-2 public events (e.g., field tours, meetings, workshops)
where aspects of the revision process are being discussed. Documentation
of SAT proceedings and products will be freely available on the RMP
website, and SAT products will be shared with RMP Cooperators and others
with an expressed interest.
B. Selection
The SAT has been selected. Members are:
-
Sarah Crim - National Forest System, Region 6 -
Timber modeling
-
Doug Drake - Oregon Department of Environmental
Quality - Water quality, monitoring
-
Joan Hagar - USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem
Science Center - Wildlife ecology
-
Chris Jordan - NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science
Center - Fish biology
-
Tom Spies - Pacific Northwest Research Station -
Forest ecology, landscape ecology
-
Fred Swanson - Pacific Northwest Research Station -
Geology, landscape ecology, watershed processes
-
John Cissel - BLM - Team coordination
C. Tasks
1. Review planning criteria
The Science Team is providing advice to the BLM
planning team regarding the analytical procedures described in the
Planning Criteria. Science Team reviews address three questions:
- Are the analytical questions sufficient to address
the purpose and need?
- Are the assumptions well founded and adequately
disclosed?
- Are the analytical approaches sufficient to answer
the analytical question?
The Science Team provided oral feedback directly to
the planning team early in the process of criteria development, and is now
working on a written report due March 17, 2006.
2. Review preliminary alternatives
The Science Team will provide advice to the planning
team regarding the preliminary alternatives prior to full development and
analysis of their effects. The Science Team will address three questions:
- Does the range of alternatives encompass the range
of strategies appropriate to meet the purpose and need?
- Are the management actions appropriate to achieve
the objectives of each alternative?
- Are there key ideas missing?
The Science Team will soon begin working on a written
report addressing these questions, and expects to complete the report by
April 3, 2006.
3. Provide input to alternative evaluation
criteria
The Science Team will meet with the planning team to
provide input to the development of alternative evaluation criteria in May
or June of 2006, and will document these recommendations in a short report
thereafter.
4. Review draft alternative effects assessment
The Science Team will review draft alternative
effects assessments for identified major issues prior to publication in
the Draft EIS according to the following criteria:
-
Was all the relevant scientific information
considered?
-
Were all the significant assumptions acknowledged?
-
Were risks adequately and fairly documented?
-
Are
the conclusions consistent with known science?
The Science Team will conduct this review when
preliminary results are available, scheduled for summer and fall of 2006.
Review results will be compiled into a short report.
5. Evaluate alternatives with respect to
evaluation criteria
The Science Team will review the alternative effects
analysis and provide input to the BLM regarding the ability of each
alternative to meet the purpose and need of the plan revisions and other
evaluation criteria. The purpose of this task is to assist the BLM with
identifying or building a preferred alternative for the Draft EIS.
6. Monitoring plan review
The Science Team will review a draft monitoring plan
before publication in the Draft EIS for technical quality. The team may be
asked to recommend specific monitoring questions and methods to include in
the monitoring plan.
7. EIS changes review
The Science Team will likely be asked to review the
BLM’s response to technical or science-related questions raised during the
public input period following release of the Draft EIS. The Science Team
will use the same criteria listed above for effects assessment reviews.
Findings and recommendations will be documented in a form suitable for
potential inclusion as an appendix in the Final EIS.
D. Schedule
- Team formed - October 1, 2005
- Analytical methodology review - October 2005-March
2006 (5-7 days)
- Effects assessment review - April-June 2006 (5-7
days)
- Monitoring plan review - Fall 2006 (2-3 days)
- EIS changes review - 2007 (5-7 days)
Technical support to alternative development
Many scientists in the region have extensive
experience translating broad concepts into management strategies.
Involvement of scientists in the alternative development process can
broaden the range of options and identify innovative ways to integrate
management approaches to achieve RMP objectives. The BLM has several
ongoing collaborations that could become venues for science input to
alternative development, including:
·
Engagement with the CLAMS team to help develop management
scenarios to assess the role of BLM lands in the Coast Range
·
Engagement with the CFER program on a broad range of
management-related studies
·
Development of landscape scenario modeling tools for the
Coos Bay and Medford districts
·
Collaboration with PNW and OSU scientists in the Density
Management Study
·
Collaboration with PNW and R6 in the Central Cascades AMA to
fulfill terms of the Settlement Agreement regarding active landscape
management
The BLM will work to capitalize on these
collaborations through brainstorming exercises, field trips, workshops, or
other appropriate means to provide concepts and strategies for
consideration in RMP alternatives. The BLM will also work with the CLAMS
and CFER teams to quickly obtain broad-scale assessment of potential
alternatives as applied on specific landscapes using their landscape
simulation models.
Attachment
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BLM Western Oregon RMP Revisions
State-of-the-Science Syntheses
February 20, 2006
The BLM has established cooperative agreements
with PNW, OSU, and USGS to conduct “State-of-the science” syntheses
for selected major issues and questions. The purpose of these reviews
is to assess the state of the knowledge and identify areas of
agreement and areas uncertainty for complex issues central to the RMP
revisions. These reviews will help focus and support the analysis of
planning team specialists, and identify potential tools to help
conduct resource analyses. Reviews will include a survey and synthesis
of the existing literature, identify questions that are the subject of
ongoing scientific investigations, and suggest a range of reasonable
assumptions and interpretations relevant for RMP revisions. In some
cases these syntheses will produce models and analytical techniques
the BLM can employ to build and evaluate alternatives. Reports will be
prepared in a format suitable for review and use by the RMP planning
team, and, if suitable, may be further developed for publication.
Results will also be presented in a public workshop in June of 2006.
1. Wildlife use of dead wood
The objective is to synthesize and interpret
existing information regarding wildlife use of dead wood habitat to
help managers develop and assess a reasonable range of objectives for
dead wood habitat. Variables to be assessed include the
size (diameter), decay stage, density
(number/acre), and spatial and temporal distribution of dead wood.
Interpretations will be placed in a successional and landscape
context. Additional topics include the trade-offs and considerations
of snag creation, and the potential for application of coarse-filter,
habitat based, multi-species management strategies.
Joan Hagar - USGS
2. Forest management
effects on peak stream flows
Synthesize existing
information and identify areas of agreement and reasonable ranges of
interpretation with respect to peak flows and forest management in
western Oregon. The scope of the report includes both potential storm
flow and channel morphology effects, the significance of potential
changes, and likely effects from the range of contemporary vegetation
management practices in western Oregon. The process includes an
initial workshop to define management questions, and a second workshop
to critique and clarify a draft manuscript.
Gordon Grant - PNW
Jeff McDonnell - OSU
Fred Swanson - PNW
3. Aquatic habitat
management strategies
The goal is to assess
the potential for alternative watershed management strategies to
provide and maintain stream habitat materials, especially large wood,
and to describe how the relative importance of riparian versus upslope
source areas vary across western Oregon. Methods for determining the
importance of source areas and their potential linkage to fish-bearing
streams will bee assessed and placed in context. Conservation biology
and landscape dynamics concepts will be reviewed and interpreted in
terms of their potential applicability to meet BLM objectives in
fragmented ownership patterns. A second component of this effort
involves mapping high intrinsic potential habitat for salmon and
steelhead throughout the planning area. This work builds on results
from the Coastal Landscape Assessment and Modeling System (CLAMS) and
extends it across western Oregon.
Gordie Reeves - PNW
Lee Benda - Earth Systems Institute (ESI)
Dan Miller - ESI
Jason Dunham - USGS
4. Human community resiliency
Synthesize existing information to describe the
ongoing shift in perspective from a focus on community stability to an
emphasis on community resiliency. In our contemporary world of rapid
change in markets and technology, community stability may be an
outdated concept. Instead, successful communities appear to be those
that are more resilient to periodic change. Recent and ongoing
scientific investigations have identified factors that appear to
confer greater resiliency to some communities than others. This paper
will summarize these ongoing shifts and provide context for assessing
the effects of RMP alternatives on communities in western Oregon.
Ellen Donoghue - PNW
Richard Haynes - PNW
5. Application of landscape dynamics concepts
Research ecologists and professionals have
embraced concepts that recognize that our forest landscapes have been
and continue to be shaped by dynamic processes such as fire, wind,
flood, and pathogens. These concepts have been articulated in the
science literature, and it has been frequently suggested that forest
management strategies that emulate key aspects of natural disturbance
regimes may pose less risk to the values society seeks from the forest
than do traditional management regimes which have often been focused
on one dominant use. Examples of various applications will be reviewed
and evaluated in this synthesis, with a particular focus on the Blue
River Landscape Study where application and evaluation of these ideas
on a landscape scale is well developed.
Fred Swanson - PNW
NOTE: this project is funded by Region 6 of the
Forest Service
6. Young stand management
Several young stand field experiments have been
initiated in western Oregon and Washington in the last 15 years to
evaluate the effects of alternative management strategies on stand
development, wildlife habitat, and many other factors. While these
studies each contain design elements that are unique to the individual
study, they also contain common elements that may help discern
important relationships that structure stand and habitat responses
across a wide range of stand and landscape conditions. The purpose of
this project is to synthesize the lessons learned from these studies
over the last 15 years, and to place them in the context of regional
environmental gradients.
Paul Anderson - PNW
Klaus Puettmann - OSU
NOTE: this project is funded by Region 6 of the
Forest Service
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